Stochastic Modelling Laboratory

The People

1. Assoc. Prof. Andrzej Wroblewski

2. technical assistant

Research Topics

1. Stochastic characteristics and stochastics methods in researches of the atmospheric influence on the sea dynamics

   • The wind stress and the sea level changes (including storm surges)
   • The wind stress and the near-shore currents
   • The air temperature and sea-water temperature
   • The Baltic basin mean sea levels
   
   

2. Probabilistic and stochastic meethods of forecasting

   • Long-term probabilistic sea level forecasts including impact of the sea-level rise (Greenhouse effect)
   • Synoptic lead time sea level forecasts by non-parametric stochastic dynamic models (including storm surges)
   • Stochastic parametric forecast models for sea levels, sea water temperature an salinity

Selected publications

• Monographs
  • Wroblewski A., 1992, Sea level changes determination and effects, Geoph. Monograph 69. Int. Union of Geodesy and Geophysics and American Geophysical Union. Washington DC, USA, 23-28.
  • Wroblewski A., 1994, Coping with Floods, G. Rossi (ED), Kluwer Publ. Dordrecht, Nederland, 503-512.
• Publications
  • Wroblewski A., 1988, On some statistical characteristics of the sea water temperature variations at the Polish Baltic Coast, Oceanologia No. 25, 23-35.
  • Wroblewski A., 1994, Analysis and long-term forecast of sea levels along the Polish Baltic Sea coast. Part II. Annual mean sea levels - forecast to the year 2100, Oceanologia, No. 36(2) 107-120.
  • Zeidler R., Wroblewski A., Mietus M., Dziadziuszko Z., Cyberski J., 1995, Wind, wave and storm surge regime at the Polish Baltic Coast, Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 22, 33-56.

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